Saturday, June 27, 2009

Game Plan for Week 27

The US dollar edged lower against every major currency except the Canadian dollar last week. Although I wrote that friday's session would be light, a surprise came as the Chinese renewed their challenge to the USD's status as world reserve currency.

This week, a number of major econmic announcements are due which would certainly give the market much volatility nnot seen in recent weeks.

Here's my daily game plan for week 27.

MONDAY, JUNE 29

BUY NZD/USD

At 6:45 am (Manila), New Zealand's Trade Balance data comes out. Expected to be better than previous, it should be bullish for the Kiwi.

BUY EUR/USD

At 5:00 pm (Manila), Eurozone consumer confidence data comes out, expected to be slightly better than previous. This should be bullish for the Euro.

TUESDAY, JUNE 30

I'm not trading on this day.

WEDNESDAY, JULY 1

BUY or SELL USD/JPY based on the all-important Tankan Indices. Disappointment could send the pair upward. In-line or better than expectation should be positive for the Yen.

BUY GBP/USD

At 4:30 pm, UK Manufacturing PMI will come out with number expected to be bullish for the Pound.

BUY EUR/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD

In the evening, a slew of US economic announcements come out. I am betting that better numbers concerning the US economy will make investors jump out o the low-yielding USD into the better-yielding high-beta currencies. Will watch price action on the daily and hourly charts and enter on setups.

THURSDAY, JULY 2

Will watch price action on the daily and hourly charts and scalp some pips. On this day, Euro Interest rate decision is due. Also, US Non-Farm Employment data comes out. Last month, US non-farm payrolls surprised the market. I do not expect such a surprise this time and so, with a combination of these two, I am more biased toward going LONG EUR/USD.

I will also be watching price action on the following pairs: GBP/USD, USD/CAD, AUD/USD, USD/JPY and NZD/USD and go LONG in case setups present themselves.


FRIDAY, JULY 3

US holiday. Will not trade. I expect light trading on this day.

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